Ballon d'Or Winner 2027 — live odds on every candidate

In the Ballon d'Or Winner 2027 market the order book currently favours Lamine Yamal at 26% implied probability (3.85), followed by Kylian Mbappé (19%, 5.26). Because the prices come from a real exchange rather than a sportsbook, there is no built-in margin.

The full field on a real exchange — order-book prices for every candidate, no vig, and on-chain settlement. Browse the whole board free; fund with crypto only when you want to back a pick.

How this futures market settles

This is a single neg-risk field: every candidate is a Yes/No market on that outcome, and only one of them can win. When the outcome is decided, the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each on-chain via Polymarket's oracle, verifiable on Polygon; a candidate that drops out before settlement voids to zero. The price carries no vig, and fees, ours and Polymarket's, are included in the odds and payout your bet slip shows before you confirm.

Live odds across the field

The field on the exchange includes Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, Harry Kane, Michael Olise, Ousmane Dembélé, Raphinha, Erling Haaland, Jude Bellingham and 20 more. Each contender is a separate Yes/No market you can back or lay at order-book prices — the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each, and every other candidate settles at zero. There is no vig on top of the exchange price, and fees, ours and Polymarket's, are included in the odds and payout your bet slip shows before you confirm.

How this market resolves

Settlement follows Polymarket's published resolution criteria for this market: “This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner…” The result is settled on-chain via Polymarket's oracle and is verifiable on Polygon.

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FAQ

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?

Lamine Yamal is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Lamine Yamal wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Lamine Yamal wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?

Kylian Mbappé is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Kylian Mbappé wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Kylian Mbappé wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Will Harry Kane win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?

Harry Kane is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Harry Kane wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Harry Kane wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Will Michael Olise win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?

Michael Olise is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Michael Olise wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Michael Olise wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Can I bet on any candidate in this market?

Yes. Every candidate listed in the field is its own live market on the exchange, so you can back or lay any of them at order-book prices. Browsing is free; you only fund an account when you want to place a bet, and you withdraw in crypto whenever you like.

Is there a vig on these markets?

Not in the price. The odds come from the exchange order book with no bookmaker margin added. Each trade carries a fee, and the odds and payout on your slip already include it.

How does an outright / futures market settle?

It's one field of candidates. Once the outcome is decided, the winning candidate redeems for one dollar per share on-chain via Polymarket's oracle; a candidate eliminated earlier settles at zero.