2026 Rugby League World Cup Winner — live odds on every candidate

The live market makes Australia at 99% implied probability (1.01) the favourite in the 2026 Rugby League World Cup Winner market, ahead of New Zealand (99%, 1.01). Every candidate is priced on a real exchange order book, with no bookmaker's margin.

The full field on a real exchange — order-book prices for every candidate, no vig, and on-chain settlement. Browse the whole board free; fund with crypto only when you want to back a pick.

How this futures market settles

This is a single neg-risk field: every candidate is a Yes/No market on that outcome, and only one of them can win. When the outcome is decided, the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each on-chain via Polymarket's oracle, verifiable on Polygon; a candidate that drops out before settlement voids to zero. The price carries no vig, and fees, ours and Polymarket's, are included in the odds and payout your bet slip shows before you confirm.

Live odds across the field

The field on the exchange includes Australia, New Zealand, Samoa, France, Lebanon, Papua New Guinea, England, Tonga and 2 more. Each contender is a separate Yes/No market you can back or lay at order-book prices — the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each, and every other candidate settles at zero. There is no vig on top of the exchange price, and fees, ours and Polymarket's, are included in the odds and payout your bet slip shows before you confirm.

How this market resolves

Settlement follows Polymarket's published resolution criteria for this market: “This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Men's Rugby League World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Men's Rugby League World Cup, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men's Rugby League World Cup is cancelled, postponed after November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe,…” The result is settled on-chain via Polymarket's oracle and is verifiable on Polygon.

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FAQ

Will Australia win the 2026 Rugby League World Cup?

Australia is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Australia wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Australia wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Will New Zealand win the 2026 Rugby League World Cup?

New Zealand is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think New Zealand wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if New Zealand wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Will Samoa win the 2026 Rugby League World Cup?

Samoa is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Samoa wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Samoa wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Will France win the 2026 Rugby League World Cup?

France is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think France wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if France wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Can I bet on any candidate in this market?

Yes. Every candidate listed in the field is its own live market on the exchange, so you can back or lay any of them at order-book prices. Browsing is free; you only fund an account when you want to place a bet, and you withdraw in crypto whenever you like.

Is there a vig on these markets?

Not in the price. The odds come from the exchange order book with no bookmaker margin added. Each trade carries a fee, and the odds and payout on your slip already include it.

How does an outright / futures market settle?

It's one field of candidates. Once the outcome is decided, the winning candidate redeems for one dollar per share on-chain via Polymarket's oracle; a candidate eliminated earlier settles at zero.