What will Pep Guardiola's next job be? — live odds on every candidate

Right now the What will Pep Guardiola's next job be? market has Paris Saint-Germain at 92% implied probability (1.09) out in front, with Barcelona (90%, 1.11) next. These are live exchange prices set by traders, so there is no vig in the odds.

The full field on a real exchange — order-book prices for every candidate, no vig, and on-chain settlement. Browse the whole board free; fund with crypto only when you want to back a pick.

How this futures market settles

This is a single neg-risk field: every candidate is a Yes/No market on that outcome, and only one of them can win. When the outcome is decided, the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each on-chain via Polymarket's oracle, verifiable on Polygon; a candidate that drops out before settlement voids to zero. The price carries no vig, and fees, ours and Polymarket's, are included in the odds and payout your bet slip shows before you confirm.

Live odds across the field

The field on the exchange includes Paris Saint-Germain, Barcelona, Juventus, Bayern Munich, Real Madrid, Italy, Manchester City, Portugal and 4 more. Each contender is a separate Yes/No market you can back or lay at order-book prices — the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each, and every other candidate settles at zero. There is no vig on top of the exchange price, and fees, ours and Polymarket's, are included in the odds and payout your bet slip shows before you confirm.

How this market resolves

Settlement follows Polymarket's published resolution criteria for this market: “This market will resolve according to the next club or national team for which Pep Guardiola is officially appointed as manager or head coach, following his departure from Manchester City at the end of the 2025-26 season. Only an appointment as manager or head coach of a senior men's club or national team counts. Non-coaching roles do not count, including his current role as a Global Ambassador for City Football…” The result is settled on-chain via Polymarket's oracle and is verifiable on Polygon.

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FAQ

Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Paris Saint-Germain?

Paris Saint-Germain is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Paris Saint-Germain wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Paris Saint-Germain wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Barcelona?

Barcelona is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Barcelona wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Barcelona wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Juventus?

Juventus is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Juventus wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Juventus wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Bayern Munich wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Bayern Munich wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Can I bet on any candidate in this market?

Yes. Every candidate listed in the field is its own live market on the exchange, so you can back or lay any of them at order-book prices. Browsing is free; you only fund an account when you want to place a bet, and you withdraw in crypto whenever you like.

Is there a vig on these markets?

Not in the price. The odds come from the exchange order book with no bookmaker margin added. Each trade carries a fee, and the odds and payout on your slip already include it.

How does an outright / futures market settle?

It's one field of candidates. Once the outcome is decided, the winning candidate redeems for one dollar per share on-chain via Polymarket's oracle; a candidate eliminated earlier settles at zero.