Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? — live odds on every candidate
In the Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? market the order book currently favours Lamine Yamal at 99% implied probability (1.01), followed by Harry Kane (95%, 1.05). Because the prices come from a real exchange rather than a sportsbook, the implied probabilities across the field total roughly 100% with no built-in margin.
The full Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? field on a real exchange — order-book prices for every candidate, no vig, and on-chain settlement. Browse the whole board free; fund with crypto only when you want to back a pick.
How this futures market settles
Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? is a single neg-risk field: every candidate is a Yes/No market on that outcome, and the prices across the field sum to roughly one. When the outcome is decided, the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each on-chain via Polymarket's oracle, verifiable on Polygon; a candidate that drops out before settlement voids to zero. OVERDOG charges a flat 1% fee plus Polymarket's own fees, disclosed at bet time — no vig.
Live odds across the Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? field
The Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? field on the exchange includes Lamine Yamal, Harry Kane, Rodri, Ousmane Dembélé, Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappé, Zinedine Zidane, David Beckham and 6 more. Each contender is a separate Yes/No market you can back or lay at order-book prices — the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each, and every other candidate settles at zero. OVERDOG charges a flat 1% fee plus Polymarket's own fees, disclosed at bet time; there is no vig on top of the exchange price.
How the Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? market resolves
Settlement follows Polymarket's published resolution criteria for this market: “The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is…” The result is settled on-chain via Polymarket's oracle and is verifiable on Polygon.