Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 — live odds on every candidate
The live market makes Harry Kane at 77% implied probability (1.30) the favourite in the Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 market, ahead of Lamine Yamal (15%, 6.71). Every candidate is priced on a real exchange order book, with no bookmaker's margin.
The full field on a real exchange — order-book prices for every candidate, no vig, and on-chain settlement. Browse the whole board free; fund with crypto only when you want to back a pick.
How this futures market settles
This is a single neg-risk field: every candidate is a Yes/No market on that outcome, and only one of them can win. When the outcome is decided, the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each on-chain via Polymarket's oracle, verifiable on Polygon; a candidate that drops out before settlement voids to zero. The price carries no vig, and fees, ours and Polymarket's, are included in the odds and payout your bet slip shows before you confirm.
Live odds across the field
The field on the exchange includes Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, Lionel Messi, Rodri, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembélé, Fabian Ruiz and 23 more. Each contender is a separate Yes/No market you can back or lay at order-book prices — the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each, and every other candidate settles at zero. There is no vig on top of the exchange price, and fees, ours and Polymarket's, are included in the odds and payout your bet slip shows before you confirm.
How this market resolves
Settlement follows Polymarket's published resolution criteria for this market: “This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).” The result is settled on-chain via Polymarket's oracle and is verifiable on Polygon.