First Player to Win Their First Major in 2027 — live odds on every candidate

Right now the First Player to Win Their First Major in 2027 market has Tommy Fleetwood at 98% implied probability (1.02) out in front, with Cameron Young (98%, 1.02) next. These are live exchange prices set by traders, so there is no vig in the odds.

The full field on a real exchange — order-book prices for every candidate, no vig, and on-chain settlement. Browse the whole board free; fund with crypto only when you want to back a pick.

How this futures market settles

This is a single neg-risk field: every candidate is a Yes/No market on that outcome, and only one of them can win. When the outcome is decided, the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each on-chain via Polymarket's oracle, verifiable on Polygon; a candidate that drops out before settlement voids to zero. The price carries no vig, and fees, ours and Polymarket's, are included in the odds and payout your bet slip shows before you confirm.

Live odds across the field

The field on the exchange includes Tommy Fleetwood, Cameron Young, Russell Henley, Robert MacIntyre, Ryan Gerard, Jacob Bridgeman, Jackson Koivun, Michael Brennan and 8 more. Each contender is a separate Yes/No market you can back or lay at order-book prices — the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each, and every other candidate settles at zero. There is no vig on top of the exchange price, and fees, ours and Polymarket's, are included in the odds and payout your bet slip shows before you confirm.

How this market resolves

Settlement follows Polymarket's published resolution criteria for this market: “This market will resolve to the first player to win his first men's major championship in 2027. The men's major championships are the Masters Tournament, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open and The Open Championship. A player wins his first major if he had not won any men's major championship before the 2027 major he wins. If no player wins his first major championship in 2027, this market will resolve to…” The result is settled on-chain via Polymarket's oracle and is verifiable on Polygon.

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FAQ

Will Tommy Fleetwood be the first player to win his first major in 2027?

Tommy Fleetwood is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Tommy Fleetwood wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Tommy Fleetwood wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Will Cameron Young be the first player to win his first major in 2027?

Cameron Young is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Cameron Young wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Cameron Young wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Will Russell Henley be the first player to win his first major in 2027?

Russell Henley is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Russell Henley wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Russell Henley wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Will Robert MacIntyre be the first player to win his first major in 2027?

Robert MacIntyre is a live, tradable candidate in this market. You can buy shares if you think Robert MacIntyre wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Robert MacIntyre wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book with no vig added, and each trade carries a fee that the odds and payout on your slip already include.

Can I bet on any candidate in this market?

Yes. Every candidate listed in the field is its own live market on the exchange, so you can back or lay any of them at order-book prices. Browsing is free; you only fund an account when you want to place a bet, and you withdraw in crypto whenever you like.

Is there a vig on these markets?

Not in the price. The odds come from the exchange order book with no bookmaker margin added. Each trade carries a fee, and the odds and payout on your slip already include it.

How does an outright / futures market settle?

It's one field of candidates. Once the outcome is decided, the winning candidate redeems for one dollar per share on-chain via Polymarket's oracle; a candidate eliminated earlier settles at zero.