Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 — live odds on every candidate

Name: Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 — live winner odds
Creator: OVERDOG

Right now the Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 market has Magnus Carlsen at 37% implied probability (2.70) out in front, with Hikaru Nakamura (37%, 2.70) next. These are live exchange prices set by traders, so the field adds up to about 100% and there is no vig in the odds.

The full Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 field on a real exchange — order-book prices for every candidate, no vig, and on-chain settlement. Browse the whole board free; fund with crypto only when you want to back a pick.

How this futures market settles

Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 is a single neg-risk field: every candidate is a Yes/No market on that outcome, and the prices across the field sum to roughly one. When the outcome is decided, the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each on-chain via Polymarket's oracle, verifiable on Polygon; a candidate that drops out before settlement voids to zero. OVERDOG charges a flat 1% fee plus Polymarket's own fees, disclosed at bet time — no vig.

Live odds across the Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 field

The Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 field on the exchange includes Magnus Carlsen, Hikaru Nakamura, Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, Aleksei Sarana, Denis Lazavik, Sina Movahed, Aravindh Chithambaram and 58 more. Each contender is a separate Yes/No market you can back or lay at order-book prices — the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each, and every other candidate settles at zero. OVERDOG charges a flat 1% fee plus Polymarket's own fees, disclosed at bet time; there is no vig on top of the exchange price.

How the Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 market resolves

Settlement follows Polymarket's published resolution criteria for this market: “This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on October 6, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will…” The result is settled on-chain via Polymarket's oracle and is verifiable on Polygon.

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FAQ

Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on October 6?

Magnus Carlsen is a live, tradable candidate in the Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 market. You can buy shares if you think Magnus Carlsen wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Magnus Carlsen wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book, with a flat 1% OVERDOG fee plus Polymarket's own fees, and no vig.

Will Hikaru Nakamura win Titled Tuesday on October 6?

Hikaru Nakamura is a live, tradable candidate in the Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 market. You can buy shares if you think Hikaru Nakamura wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Hikaru Nakamura wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book, with a flat 1% OVERDOG fee plus Polymarket's own fees, and no vig.

Will Arjun Erigaisi win Titled Tuesday on October 6?

Arjun Erigaisi is a live, tradable candidate in the Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 market. You can buy shares if you think Arjun Erigaisi wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Arjun Erigaisi wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book, with a flat 1% OVERDOG fee plus Polymarket's own fees, and no vig.

Will Alireza Firouzja win Titled Tuesday on October 6?

Alireza Firouzja is a live, tradable candidate in the Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 market. You can buy shares if you think Alireza Firouzja wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Alireza Firouzja wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book, with a flat 1% OVERDOG fee plus Polymarket's own fees, and no vig.

Will Aleksei Sarana win Titled Tuesday on October 6?

Aleksei Sarana is a live, tradable candidate in the Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 market. You can buy shares if you think Aleksei Sarana wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Aleksei Sarana wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book, with a flat 1% OVERDOG fee plus Polymarket's own fees, and no vig.

Will Denis Lazavik win Titled Tuesday on October 6?

Denis Lazavik is a live, tradable candidate in the Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 market. You can buy shares if you think Denis Lazavik wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Denis Lazavik wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book, with a flat 1% OVERDOG fee plus Polymarket's own fees, and no vig.

Will Sina Movahed win Titled Tuesday on October 6?

Sina Movahed is a live, tradable candidate in the Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 market. You can buy shares if you think Sina Movahed wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Sina Movahed wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book, with a flat 1% OVERDOG fee plus Polymarket's own fees, and no vig.

Will Aravindh Chithambaram win Titled Tuesday on October 6?

Aravindh Chithambaram is a live, tradable candidate in the Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 market. You can buy shares if you think Aravindh Chithambaram wins, or lay the outcome by taking the other side — the position settles at one dollar per share if Aravindh Chithambaram wins and zero if not. Prices come from the exchange order book, with a flat 1% OVERDOG fee plus Polymarket's own fees, and no vig.

Can I bet on any candidate in the Titled Tuesday Winner: October 6 market?

Yes. Every candidate listed in the field is its own live market on the exchange, so you can back or lay any of them at order-book prices. Browsing is free; you only fund an account when you want to place a bet, and you withdraw in crypto whenever you like.

Is there a vig on these markets?

No. Prices come from an exchange order book; OVERDOG charges a flat 1% fee plus Polymarket's own fees, disclosed at bet time.

How does an outright / futures market settle?

It's one field of candidates. Once the outcome is decided, the winning candidate redeems for one dollar per share on-chain via Polymarket's oracle; a candidate eliminated earlier settles at zero.