Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place — live odds on every candidate
Right now the Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place market has Kylian Mbappé at 59% implied probability (1.69) out in front, with Lamine Yamal (16%, 6.25) next. These are live exchange prices set by traders, so the field adds up to about 100% and there is no vig in the odds.
The full Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place field on a real exchange — order-book prices for every candidate, no vig, and on-chain settlement. Browse the whole board free; fund with crypto only when you want to back a pick.
How this futures market settles
Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place is a single neg-risk field: every candidate is a Yes/No market on that outcome, and the prices across the field sum to roughly one. When the outcome is decided, the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each on-chain via Polymarket's oracle, verifiable on Polygon; a candidate that drops out before settlement voids to zero. OVERDOG charges a flat 1% fee plus Polymarket's own fees, disclosed at bet time — no vig.
Live odds across the Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place field
The Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place field on the exchange includes Kylian Mbappé, Lamine Yamal, Harry Kane, Rodri, Lionel Messi, Vinícius Júnior, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Jude Bellingham and 22 more. Each contender is a separate Yes/No market you can back or lay at order-book prices — the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each, and every other candidate settles at zero. OVERDOG charges a flat 1% fee plus Polymarket's own fees, disclosed at bet time; there is no vig on top of the exchange price.
How the Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place market resolves
Settlement follows Polymarket's published resolution criteria for this market: “This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 2nd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 2nd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same…” The result is settled on-chain via Polymarket's oracle and is verifiable on Polygon.