Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? — live odds on every candidate
In the Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? market the order book currently favours Justin Gaethje at 86% implied probability (1.16), followed by Charles Oliveira (10%, 10.00). Because the prices come from a real exchange rather than a sportsbook, the implied probabilities across the field total roughly 100% with no built-in margin.
The full Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? field on a real exchange — order-book prices for every candidate, no vig, and on-chain settlement. Browse the whole board free; fund with crypto only when you want to back a pick.
How this futures market settles
Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? is a single neg-risk field: every candidate is a Yes/No market on that outcome, and the prices across the field sum to roughly one. When the outcome is decided, the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each on-chain via Polymarket's oracle, verifiable on Polygon; a candidate that drops out before settlement voids to zero. OVERDOG charges a flat 1% fee plus Polymarket's own fees, disclosed at bet time — no vig.
Live odds across the Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? field
The Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? field on the exchange includes Justin Gaethje, Charles Oliveira, Arman Tsarukyan, Mauricio Ruffy, Ilia Topuria, Paddy Pimblett, Max Holloway, Benoît Saint Denis and 4 more. Each contender is a separate Yes/No market you can back or lay at order-book prices — the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each, and every other candidate settles at zero. OVERDOG charges a flat 1% fee plus Polymarket's own fees, disclosed at bet time; there is no vig on top of the exchange price.
How the Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? market resolves
Settlement follows Polymarket's published resolution criteria for this market: “This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will…” The result is settled on-chain via Polymarket's oracle and is verifiable on Polygon.