MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs — live odds on every candidate
The live market makes Kyle Schwarber at 100% implied probability (1.00) the favourite in the MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs market, ahead of Kazuma Okamoto (96%, 1.04). Every candidate is priced on a real exchange order book — the whole field sums to roughly 100%, with no bookmaker's margin.
The full MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs field on a real exchange — order-book prices for every candidate, no vig, and on-chain settlement. Browse the whole board free; fund with crypto only when you want to back a pick.
How this futures market settles
MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs is a single neg-risk field: every candidate is a Yes/No market on that outcome, and the prices across the field sum to roughly one. When the outcome is decided, the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each on-chain via Polymarket's oracle, verifiable on Polygon; a candidate that drops out before settlement voids to zero. OVERDOG charges a flat 1% fee plus Polymarket's own fees, disclosed at bet time — no vig.
Live odds across the MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs field
The MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs field on the exchange includes Kyle Schwarber, Kazuma Okamoto, Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, Dillon Dingler, Junior Caminero, Ben Rice, Hunter Goodman and 22 more. Each contender is a separate Yes/No market you can back or lay at order-book prices — the winning candidate's shares redeem for one dollar each, and every other candidate settles at zero. OVERDOG charges a flat 1% fee plus Polymarket's own fees, disclosed at bet time; there is no vig on top of the exchange price.
How the MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs market resolves
Settlement follows Polymarket's published resolution criteria for this market: “This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to…” The result is settled on-chain via Polymarket's oracle and is verifiable on Polygon.